Christmas Number 1 Odds

Betting On Xmas No1 Songs 2022

Christmas Number One Betting

The Christmas Number 1 has become a national institution ever since the first festive chart-topper was announced in 1952. Al Martino claimed the coveted spot that year with ‘Here In My Heart’.

Over the years we’ve enjoyed a whole host of fantastic Christmas tunes. From Fairy Tale Of New York to Do They Know It’s Christmas and even from Rage Against The Machine.

A growing Xmas tradition is taking a small punt on who you think will top the charts on Christmas Day. UK bookmakers are now taking bets on who will win Christmas Number 1 spot for 2022. Paddy Power is leading the way with a full market of Christmas crooners aiming for the top spot!.

Below we take a look at the contenders for 2022 and the historical winners of the race to top the charts on the 25th.

Christmas Number 1 Odds 2022

Of course, these are subject to change as different artists release charity songs and Christmas specials on the run-up to the big day. So keep coming back if you think your favourite will make it to the number 1 spot!

LadBaby 5/6Baddiel, Skinner & The Lightning Seeds (Three Lions) 7/2Lewis Capaldi 6/1
Jason Manford 8/1Tyson Fury 10/1Neil Diamond 12/1
Elton John & Ed Sheeran 14/1Michael Buble 16/1Rihanna 18/1
Sam Ryder 20/1JVKA 25/1Stormzy 25/1
Whitney Houston 25/1Taylor Swift 25/1Kate Bush 25/1
The Pogues 25/1The Evamore Project 25/1Meghan Trainor 25/1
Mariah Carey 33/1Cliff Richard 33/1

If you’re looking to put a wager on this year’s Christmas No.1, go to Paddy Power using the link below. Once you’ve signed up, search for ‘christmas’ on the Paddy Power website/app or click the ‘A-Z Betting/Specials’ link in the main menu.

Paddy Power




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In 2021, LadBaby was favourite from an early stage to get the top spot, largely because he had been number one in 2020, 2019 and 2018. Previous classics from Wham, Bing Cosby and George Michael re-entered the charts and were all priced as 33/1 outsiders.

The honours did indeed go to the social media sensation LadBaby for the fourth consecutive year. The charity song was called Sausage Rolls For Everyone with all the proceeds going to the food bank charity The Trussell Trust.

It also meant that LadBaby beat the record held by The Beatles and Spice Girls, who are the only other musical acts to score a hat-trick of consecutive Christmas number ones.

2022 Christmas Number One Contenders

As you can imagine, as we get closer to Christmas Day the pressure to get the number one increases a lot.

That said, there are a few big hitters in the music world that released singles and albums in November, any of which could be the elusive number one song.

Baddiel, Skinner & The Lightning Seeds are definitely in the mix with the 2022 World Cup taking place in December. The further England go, the more the song gets played, the higher up the charts it goes. But will it get to number one?

Throwing his hat into the ring for the Christmas number one song for 2022 is Jason Manford. He has released a school assembly songs dance remix ahead of Christmas to raise money for UK food banks this winter.

Honestly, I never thought I would see Tyson Fury in the mix for the Christmas number one song. Ever. That said, he has released his version of the classic, Sweet Caroline, a charity single to raise money for men’s mental health charity Talk Club.

Taylor Swift is currently unstoppable and despite odds of 25/1 for reaching the top spot on Christmas Day, she is not to be underestimated. She has already spent five weeks at number one with Anti-Hero and has two other songs in the top 40.

And last but not least, we have Lewis Capaldi on odds of 6/1. With an album due out in 2023, Capaldi has already gotten off to a great start with one hit song but does he have the Christmas Number 1 for 2022 with his second?

The latest track from his upcoming Broken By Desire To Be Heavenly Sent album is called Pointless, and it might just get him there.

The Best Christmas Tunes

Back in 2017, presenter Richard Osman hosted a ‘World Cup of Christmas Songs’ event on his Twitter profile. After days of voting, ‘Fairytale of New York’ came out on top against the classic ‘Last Christmas’.

A playlist on Spotify celebrates the ‘100 Greatest Christmas Songs Ever’. It features the usual classics from the likes of Michael Bublé, Chris Rea and Shakin’ Stevens.

In 2019, “All I Want for Christmas Is You” by Mariah Carey was announced as being the most streamed Christmas song on the platform.

Past Christmas Number One Songs

2021, 2020, 2019 & 2018
LadBaby has the honour of having the Christmas Number 1 in four years in a row.

Each year he pulled off a festive upset, first with We Built This City …on Sausage Rolls. Then in 2019 with I Love Sausage Rolls. His 2020 winner was called Don’t Stop Me Eatin’. And 2021 produced another winner with Sausage Rolls For Everyone.

Listen and watch the 2021 Christmas Number 1

LadBaby – Sausage Rolls For Everyone
Deviating from the parody songs, in 2021 LadBaby instead released a new Christmas single featuring Elton John and Ed Sheeran. The song Sausage Rolls For Everyone is based on a 2021 number one, “Merry Christmas” which topped the charts for the duo.

LadBaby – Don’t Stop Me Eatin’
For 2020, the couple announced their Christmas single entitled Don’t Stop Me Eatin’, a parody cover of “Don’t Stop Believin'” by Journey.

LadBaby – I Love Sausage Rolls
In 2019 the Hoyles released a second Christmas charity single called I Love Sausage Rolls, another parody and cover of Alan Merrill’s “I Love Rock ‘n’ Roll”. As with their previous single, all proceeds went to The Trussell Trust.

LadBaby – We Built This City on Sausage Rolls
In December 2018, the Hoyle couple released their charity single, a parody cover of Starship’s 1985 single We Built This City. It debuted at Number 1 with all profits going to The Trussell Trust.

Ed Sheeran – Perfect
Perfect became the Christmas number-one song for 2017 and peaked at the top of the charts in sixteen other countries. The song comes from the album ÷.

Clean Bandit featuring Sean Paul and Anne-Marie – Rockabye
Rockabye became the first song in chart history to become Christmas number one after already being at the top of the charts for six weeks. In total, it spent nine weeks at number one in the UK Singles Chart while also topping the charts in over 20 other countries.

Lewisham & Greenwich NHS Choir – A Bridge Over You
A Bridge over You is a charity single recorded and released independently by the Lewisham and Greenwich NHS Choir. It is a mashup of ‘Bridge over Troubled Water’ by Simon & Garfunkel and Coldplay’s ‘Fix You’.

Could we see a similar charity single reach number 1 in 2022?

Ben Haenow – Something I Need

‘Something I Need’ is a cover of a song originally recorded by the American rock band OneRepublic. British artist Ben Haenow released the cover as his winners’ single following his victory in the 2014 edition of X-Factor.

Surprise Xmas No.1 Songs

Rage Against The Machine – Killing In The Name

Rock band Rage Against the Machine won one of the most competitive battles for the Christmas number one in 2009. The band’s single, Killing In The Name, sold 500,000 downloads beating X Factor winner Joe McElderry’s The Climb by 50,000 copies to clinch the top spot.

The success of the song was mostly down to a Facebook campaign designed to prevent an X-Factor number one.

Watch Rage Against The Machine live at Finsbury Park in June 2010.

Bob The Builder – Can We Fix It?

According to the Official Charts Company, this song sold over one million copies in the United Kingdom. It beat Westlife’s What Makes A Man to the coveted top spot in 2000.

Mr Blobby – Mr Blobby

Mr Blobby was produced by Paul Shaw and David Rogers and was released on November 22nd 1993. Despite its great success in the charts, many consider it one of the worst songs ever recorded.

Queen – Bohemian Rhapsody/These Are The Days Of Our Lives

These Are The Days Of Our Lives was released as a single in the United States on Freddie Mercury’s 45th birthday, September 5th 1991.

Then again as a double A-side single in Ireland and the United Kingdom on December 9th, in the wake of Mercury’s death, with another classic Queen track “Bohemian Rhapsody”.

Band Aid – Do They Know It’s Christmas

An iconic charity single. The song by Bob Geldof and Midge Ure was in reaction to television reports of the 1983–1985 famine in Ethiopia.

It was first recorded on November 25th, 1984 by Band-Aid, a supergroup put together by Geldof. It contained many of the most prominent British and Irish musical acts at the time.

How Much Money Do Christmas Songs Make?

Research carried out for Channel 5 in 2016 attempted to find the answer about which Christmas earned the most in royalties and concluded that the following tunes were the most lucrative Christmas songs…

  • Merry Xmas Everybody – Slade £1 million (in royalties per year)
  • Fairytale of New York – The Pogues and Kirsty MacColl £400,000
  • All I Want for Christmas is You – Mariah Carey £375,000
  • White Christmas – Bing Crosby £328,000
  • Last Christmas – Wham! £300,000
  • Wonderful Christmas time – Paul McCartney £260,000
  • Stop the Cavalry – Jona Lewie £120,000
  • 2000 Miles – The Pretenders £102,000
  • Mistletoe and Wine – Cliff Richard £100,000
  • Stay Another Day – East 17 £97,000

Most Christmas Number 1’s?
The Beatles with four. Three of these were in consecutive years from 1963 to 1965. In 1963 and 1967, they also held the Number 1 and Number 2 spots at the same time.

Paddy Power




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